Tag: statistical modeling

SCM Tools

How To Create Models For Weekly Forecasting In SAP APO – A Primer

Dr. Chockalingam

In our up-coming hands-on workshop on May 24, we will be adding a brief session on modeling at the weekly level so good intra-month splits can be achieved for the purposes of Production Planning and Detailed Scheduling (PPDS). We will evaluate the usefulness of weekly models to achieve good weekly splits of the monthly forecasts. What is the incremental value add of this process compared to using the APODPDANT proportioning keyfigure to derive the splits.

As we enter the last week of registration, only a few seats are left at rush pricing:

May 24th ‘Modeling & Metrics in SAP APO DP 1-day Workshop’ Boston, MA $995
http://demandplanning.net/modeling_metrics_in_apo_2.htm.

Demand Modeling Training & Certification

Demand Planning Training Workshops – What Is Out There? What Is Different About Us?

Dr. Chockalingam

The workshops offered by Demand Planning Net are unique in the sense we actually offer practical, hands-on workshops. We assign pre-work to every attendee before the come to the workshop. Every one needs to bring a laptop to work through individual and group exercises to create actual demand plans and solve demand analytic challenges.

They submit solved case studies before they get a certificate of completion. This certificate of completion is essential as a pre-requisite before appearing for the certification exams in Demand Planning and Sales Forecasting.

Many professionals who have attended our workshops, have reported back that they were able to use the concepts in their every day activity. Many of our attendees are our loyal fans and have sent their colleagues and peers and successors to the workshops.

Aggregate Planning

Silver Bullets To Tackle The Intermittent Demand Problem

Dr. Chockalingam

The first step to handle intermittent demand should not be looking for a magical statistical model to solve our problems. We should question the reasons for intermittent demand and come up with a business angle to formulate solutions. These may include integrated demand-supply strategies as well as sales intelligence on customer ordering patterns. Applying Croston’s models and discrete distribution models should be the last resort to address intermittent demand problems.

Forecasting Metrics and Diagnostics

Automatic Outlier Detection – Blessing or Curse?

Dr. Chockalingam

One of the puzzled questions that Demand Planners ask in our training workshops is why their software produces a flat forecast 90% of the time.  An expensive software that took … Read More